245
FXUS66 KOTX 290516
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1016 PM PDT SAT JUN 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES TRENDING MUCH WARMER SUNDAY THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK
INCLUDING MODERATE HEATRISK MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- TEMPERATURES TRENDING COOLER BUT STILL WARM THURSDAY AND
INDEPENDENCE DAY
- UNCERTAINTY IN A PATTERN CHANGE THAT COULD BRING SHOWERS AND
CONVECTION STARTING WEDNESDAY.
SYNOPSIS
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND MUCH WARMER BEGINNING SUNDAY, AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL SLIGHTLY FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK BUT WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY: THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
BUILD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
DRYING CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 90S BY
MONDAY, WITH UPPER 90S AND LOW 100S BY TUESDAY. A HEAT ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE CASCADES AND KELLOGG/LOOKOUT PASS AREA. THE
HEAT ADVISORY IS ACTIVE FROM 9 AM MONDAY THROUGH 9 PM TUESDAY.
MAKE SURE TO TAKE CARE IN THE HEAT BY DRINKING PLENTY OF FLUIDS,
STAYING IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM, STAYING OUT OF THE SUN, AND
CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: BY WEDNESDAY, ENSEMBLE DATA BEGINS TO
SHOW DIFFERENCES. WHILE SOME WANT TO CONTINUE WITH THE HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS, OTHERS TRY TO BRING A SHORTWAVE ACROSS THAT
WOULD DROP TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
CONVECTION BY MID WEEK. CASCADE GAP WINDS ALSO ARE A CONCERN FOR
WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS EARLIER IN THE WEEK. BY THURSDAY AND THE
FOURTH OF JULY, ENSEMBLES ARE IN AGREEMENT OF A RETURN TO A WARM
AND DRY FORECAST. MAKE SURE TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS IN THE HEAT.
AVIATION
06Z TAFS: BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL DELIVER CLEAR SKIES FOR
THE REGION THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN DRIVEN, AT
SPEEDS 10 KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE
OF VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN WASHINGTON
AND NORTH IDAHO. JW
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS, PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 52 85 57 92 61 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 52 84 56 92 60 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
PULLMAN 48 83 53 91 58 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
LEWISTON 58 91 62 99 67 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COLVILLE 44 85 48 92 52 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
SANDPOINT 49 83 52 90 54 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
KELLOGG 56 81 59 90 64 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOSES LAKE 54 91 57 97 62 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 59 90 66 97 69 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OMAK 54 90 59 96 62 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR LOWER
GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-MOSES LAKE AREA-NORTHEAST
MOUNTAINS-OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS-OKANOGAN VALLEY-SPOKANE AREA-
UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-WASHINGTON PALOUSE-WATERVILLE
PLATEAU-WENATCHEE AREA.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR COEUR
D'ALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE-LEWIS AND SOUTHERN NEZ PERCE
COUNTIES-LEWISTON AREA-NORTHERN PANHANDLE.
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