917  
FNUS76 KOTX 070942  
FWSOTX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TIOGA...USDA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA  
242 AM PDT THU AUG 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 PDT ON AUGUST 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FIRE TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS COULD  
BRING BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
AND HAIL. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TO AROUND 60% AROUND 0900,  
AND TO AROUND 80% FROM ABOUT 1100 TO 1500, THEN START TO WANE.  
THE OVERALL CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN IS AROUND 75%, WITH AROUND  
0.10 TO 0.15" EXPECTED AND POTENTIALLY NEAR 0.30" IF A  
HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM TRACKS OVER THE FIRE. WINDS TODAY WILL BE  
WEST TO SOUTHWEST, BEFORE TURNING MORE NORTH TO NORTHWEST  
IN THE AFTERNOON. TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND CONTINUING INTO  
THE WEEKEND, DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SOME  
LOW-END AFTERNOON GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE COULD  
BE SOME SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF  
THE FIRE, BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO STAY AWAY FROM YOUR FIRE.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR  
RAIN IS BETWEEN 1100 AND 1500.  
CWR.................75 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.45 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING  
TURNING NORTH-NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
12 MPH AFTER 1300-1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 2000.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...DECREASING  
TO 1 TO 3 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 2000.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL FALLING TO 0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 TO 7 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MSC  
REQUESTED BY...REESE BENNETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2519403.1/OTX  
.DELDT 08/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL REESE.BENNETT@USDA.GOV  
 
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