553
FXUS66 KOTX 200647
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1047 PM PST WED NOV 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRIER OVERALL THIS WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.
- ACTIVE WEATHER RETURNS BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.
SYNOPSIS
A QUIETER WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER, BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEK. A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THE END
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH VALLEY RAIN, MOUNTAIN
SNOW, AND BREEZY WINDS.
DISCUSSION
LOOKING LIKE A PRETTY QUIET EVENING WEATHER-WISE ACROSS THE
INLAND NORTHWEST. SOME POTENTIAL FOR FOG/FREEZING FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT, PRIMARILY ACROSS FAVORED VALLEYS OF
EASTERN WA AND NORTHERN ID. BY EARLY THURSDAY, A DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS MOSTLY SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. STILL, SOME
LIMITED PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
CASCADES , THE SE WASHINGTON, AND THE ID PANHANDLE SOUTH OF
I-90. ZONAL FLOW THEN LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE FOR FRIDAY INTO THE
EARLY PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND, FOLLOWED BY A PASSING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH SOME INCREASED
PRECIP CHANCES LATE SUNDAY AND THROUGH MONDAY. SNOW AGAIN TO
BE GENERALLY CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER PASSES.
SPECIFICALLY, SNOW LEVELS AVERAGE BETWEEN 5-6KFT THROUGH
SUNDAY, DROP TO AROUND 4-5KFT SUNDAY NIGHT NIGHT INTO MONDAY,
THEN BETWEEN 2-3KFT BY TUESDAY AS COLDER AIR START TO COME IN.
DAYTIME TEMPS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK TO CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE
NORMAL.
AS WE GET INTO THE HEART OF THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY WEEK,
TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO NEAR NORMAL STARTING AROUND
TUESDAY. DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES, HOLIDAY TRAVEL IMPACTS TO
REMAIN MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION
06Z TAFS: A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE AT LOW TO MID LEVELS WILL RESULT
IN AN EXPANDING DECK OF STRATUS. PATCHY FOG FORMING BEFORE THE
FRONT ARRIVES MAY EXPAND INTO KPUW, KSFF AND KCOE BETWEEN
10-16Z. CEILINGS UNDER THE STRATUS COVER WILL START OUT BETWEEN
4-6 KFT AGL., BUT LOWER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN THROUGH
THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH CEILINGS LOWERING DOWN TO BETWEEN 2-4
KFT AGL AND MVFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AT KPUW/KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THERE IS A 30%
PERCENT CHANCE FOR LIGHT RIGHT AT KLWS AND KPUW. CHANCES
DECREASE TO BELOW 10% FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE SPOKANE- COEUR
D'ALENE CORRIDOR. LIGHT UPSLOPE SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL KEEP LOW STRATUS PERSISTING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
.FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
LOW CONFIDENCE THAT FOG WILL EXPAND INTO KPUW, KSFF AND KCOE
OVERNIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE THAT MVFR CEILINGS WILL
DEVELOP WITH THE STRATUS FOR KPUW/KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A 50-70% CHANCE FOR CEILINGS TO LOWER
BELOW 3 KFT AGL. AT THESE TERMINALS BY THURSDAY EVENING.
CONFIDENCE INCREASES THAT CEILINGS LOWER FURTHER THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH A 40% CHANCE THAT IFR CONDITIONS AFTER 06Z. /SVH
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS,PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 31 44 31 44 31 47 / 0 10 0 10 10 20
COEUR D'ALENE 31 46 34 45 34 47 / 0 10 10 20 30 30
PULLMAN 32 42 30 45 32 48 / 0 30 10 10 10 20
LEWISTON 37 47 35 48 36 51 / 0 20 10 0 10 10
COLVILLE 26 46 27 43 30 44 / 0 0 10 20 30 30
SANDPOINT 31 45 32 43 34 44 / 0 10 30 40 50 50
KELLOGG 35 47 36 45 36 47 / 0 20 30 40 40 40
MOSES LAKE 31 47 27 43 29 45 / 0 10 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 35 48 32 45 36 49 / 10 10 0 10 10 10
OMAK 33 47 32 43 35 44 / 0 0 0 10 10 10
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...NONE.
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