563
FXUS66 KOTX 091851
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1051 AM PST MON FEB 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS OVER THE CASCADE AND CENTRAL IDAHO
PANHANDLE MOUNTAIN PASSES MONDAY.
- AREAS OF MORNING FOG AND BLACK ICE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
- HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR WINTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS OVER MOUNTAIN
PASSES THIS WEEKEND.
SYNOPSIS
ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES WITH RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH
MONDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THEN ANOTHER
SYSTEM MOVES IN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
MORNING UPDATE TO EXTEND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING
THROUGH NOON TODAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE WITH SLUSH OVER
LOOKOUT PASS TO CONTINUE. SNOW IS MAINLY ONLY EXPECTED TO
ACCUMULATE AT THIS SPOT FOR TRAVELERS AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
NUISANCE OVER THE PASS. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO LET UP INTO THE
AFTERNOON WITH ROAD SURFACES WARMING AND ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW
EXPECTED TO MELT ON CONTACT. /SVH
AVIATION
18Z TAFS: A PERSISTENT PATCH OF DENSE FOG AT KMWH AND KEPH WILL
LIFT AS TEMPERATURES WARM BETWEEN 19-21Z TODAY. THE REST OF THE
REGION WILL SEE LOW STRATUS TO STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS TODAY.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN
POTENTIAL FOR CEILINGS TO LIFT ABOVE 3 KFT AGL. BY MID AFTERNOON
(BY 21-23Z); BUT, MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE A BIT BREEZY ACROSS THE
EXPOSED AREAS OF THE COLUMBIA BASIN INTO THE SPOKANE AREA AND
PALOUSE WITH GUSTS UP TO 18-25 KTS FOR KGEG AND KPUW. WINDS BACK
TONIGHT AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY ACROSS THE PALOUSE. KLWS WILL
STILL SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG, BUT DRIER EASTERLY WINDS
ACROSS KPUW SHOULD RESULT IN CONTINUED VFR SKIES. A MIX OF LOW
STRATUS AND/OR FOG WITH IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE SPOKANE/COEUR D'ALENE CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING, BUT WILL SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR CLEARING BY LATE
MORNING. A DIFFERENT STORY FOR NEAR THE CASCADES (KEPH/KMWH TO
KEAT) WHERE MOISTURE AND FOG/LOW STRATUS AND IFR TO MVFR
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AFTER 05Z.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
CONTINUED HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS TO LIFT TODAY TO BETWEEN
2,500-4,500 AGL. BY 21Z THIS AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH TIMING OF WHEN
FOG WILL MIX OUT OF KMWH IS A BIT UNCERTAIN AND MAY BE DELAYED
AN HOUR OR TWO WITH WHAT IS IN THE TAF. MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WITH LOW STRATUS OR FOR AT KCOE/KSFF-
KGEG/KMWH/KEAT MONDAY NIGHT, AND LOW CONFIDENCE FOR FOG TO
DEVELOP AT KLWS OVERNIGHT. /SVH
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS,PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 42 30 45 27 44 28 / 20 0 0 0 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 41 30 45 27 44 28 / 60 10 0 0 0 0
PULLMAN 41 30 44 29 43 30 / 60 10 0 0 0 0
LEWISTON 48 32 48 33 47 33 / 50 10 0 0 0 0
COLVILLE 42 28 43 26 44 26 / 10 0 0 0 0 0
SANDPOINT 39 32 43 27 42 28 / 50 20 10 0 0 0
KELLOGG 38 29 43 27 44 29 / 90 30 0 0 0 0
MOSES LAKE 48 28 48 28 49 28 / 10 0 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 47 31 42 30 46 32 / 10 0 0 0 0 0
OMAK 43 31 42 29 45 30 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON PST TODAY FOR CENTRAL
PANHANDLE MOUNTAINS.
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