792
FXUS66 KOTX 200008
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
508 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE. TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK WILL BE OUR WARMEST DAYS OVER THE NEXT
WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING DRY AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY, PARTICULARLY OVER CENTRAL WASHINGTON, WITH CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
SYNOPSIS
THE REST OF TODAY WILL BE WARM AND DRY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN
BRUSH ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND BRING BREEZY TO GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND A RETURN FOR INCREASED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS. LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
HOT, DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS SATURDAY...
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY:
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS TO CONTINUE
INTO TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL
USHER A DRY COLD FRONT INTO THE INLAND NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY,
BRINGING A ROUND OF BREEZY/GUSTY WINDS. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL
BE ACROSS THE OKANOGAN VALLEY AND WESTERN COLUMBIA BASIN. WIND
GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES IN THESE AREAS, AND
WILL BE COUPLED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY PERCENTAGES IN THE TEENS
TO LOW 20S. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LEADING TO HEIGHTENED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS, AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL ALSO BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THOUGH THE ONLY ANTICIPATED CHANCES FOR
PRECIP FOR THE REGION WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN
ID PANHANDLE ON SUNDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST, WITH
DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 80S AND 90S. WEDNESDAY
HAS BREEZY WINDS THROUGH THE CASCADE GAPS WITH A WEAK AND QUICK-
MOVING DISTURBANCE PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION. TOWARD THE END
OF THE WEEK (STARTING AROUND FRIDAY), MODELS START TO DIVERGE
MORE SUBSTANTIALLY. SOMETHING TO WATCH IN A CASE A PATTERN
SHIFT BECOMES MORE LIKELY. /KD
AVIATION
00Z TAFS: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH
MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR APART
FROM SOME SMOKE OR HAZE NEAR LOCAL WILDFIRES, WHICH WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED. A COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN WINDS
INCREASING AROUND 18-20Z TOMORROW TO 20-25KTS FOR MOST
TERMINALS. THESE GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
NEXT TAF PERIOD.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF WIND INCREASE. LOW CONFIDENCE
IN SMOKE AND HAZE IMPACTS TO AREAS WITH LOCAL FIRES. MOST
IMPACTFUL HIGH ALTERNATE SCENARIO WOULD BE A TAF AMENDMENT DUE
TO SMOKE AND HAZE. /AS
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS, PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 85 54 86 54 82 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 84 56 84 53 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
PULLMAN 84 52 80 50 79 48 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
LEWISTON 91 60 89 56 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COLVILLE 87 52 84 50 82 48 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
SANDPOINT 82 53 82 51 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 10 0
KELLOGG 84 54 81 52 77 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOSES LAKE 91 58 89 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 90 64 86 59 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OMAK 90 57 86 57 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR FOOTHILLS OF CENTRAL WASHINGTON CASCADES
(ZONE 705)-OKANOGAN VALLEY (ZONE 703)-WATERVILLE PLATEAU
(ZONE 706)-WESTERN COLUMBIA BASIN (ZONE 707).
ID...NONE.
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