501
FNUS76 KOTX 221229
FWSOTX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CARIBOU...IDCDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
529 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON AUGUST 22.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PDT THIS EVENING
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM
PDT SUNDAY...
DISCUSSION
WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING INTO SATURDAY EVENING WITH A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE. WIND DIRECTION WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING,
SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON, AND THEN SOUTHWEST WITH THE
COLD FRONT PASSAGE THIS EVENING. INCREASED INSTABILITY WILL ALSO LEAD
TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY, MAINLY AFTER 1700 PDT.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IS EXPECTED WITH THE COLD FRONT, BUT BRIEF
STRONGER GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
***************************************************************
FORECASTS FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE
10 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WIND.
***VENTILATION INDEX IS DERIVED FROM TRANSPORT WIND
MULTIPLIED BY THE MIXING HEIGHT DIVIDED BY 100.
CATEGORIES: LOW (< 200), MODERATE (200-500),
HIGH (500-800), AND VERY HIGH (> 800).
***************************************************************
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY OUTFLOW
WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE THROUGH 0900 INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...MODERATE (390).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A
40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING WITH GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO NEAR SURFACE BY 2000 PDT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...MODERATE (208).
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL THROUGH 0900 PDT INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...HIGH (696) INCREASING TO VERY HIGH (1176) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...GUS JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620226.0/OTX
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GJACKSON@IDL.IDAHO.GOV,EHAMILTON@IDL.IDAHO.GOV,ASTONEHAM@IDL.IDAHO.GOV,IDCDC@FIRENET.GOV
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