526
FXUS66 KOTX 022034
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
134 PM PDT FRI OCT 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH
70S TO LOW 80S.
- DRY WEATHER THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SYNOPSIS
TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER, INTO THE 70S AND LOW 80S THIS WEEKEND,
PEAKING MONDAY. SLIGHTLY BREEZY MONDAY. DRY THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK, UNTIL A SLIGHT RISK FOR SHOWERS NEXT FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT TO FRIDAY: MILD, DRY WEATHER DOMINATES. A RIDGE BUILDS
IN THIS WEEKEND; A SYSTEM TRACKS INTO B.C. MONDAY TO DAMPEN IT,
BEFORE REBUILDING INTO THURSDAY. EXPECT VARIABLE MID TO HIGH
CLOUDS. SOME MODELS TRACK A WAVE AND SHOWER THREAT BY THE BLUES
TO CAMAS PRAIRIE MONDAY; CONSENSUS HAS POPS LESS THAN 10%, BUT
WE WILL MONITOR IT. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE OVER THE BASIN
MONDAY PM, GUSTING 15-20 MPH WITH RHS IN THE LOWER 20S; THE HDWI
PEAKS ABOVE THE 95TH PERCENTILE, SO THERE'S SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
FIRE WX CONCERNS THEN. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FRIDAY, WITH CASCADE
AND EASTERN WA/ID SHOWER THREAT AND BREEZY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
YET POPS ARE ONLY AROUND 20%. LOWS ARE MOSTLY IN THE 40S, SOME
50S NEAR WENATCHEE, DEEP BASIN AND L-C VALLEY AND UPPER 30S
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID-80S THROUGH THURSDAY,
WITH MONDAY WARMEST; FRIDAY UPPER 60S AND 70S. /SOLVEIG
AVIATION
18Z TAFS: DRIER AIR AT LOW LEVELS WILL PROMOTE VFR CONDITIONS
TODAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 5-10
KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 14-15 KTS OVER THE COLUMBIA BASIN INTO
SPOKANE (KGEG) AND THE PALOUSE (KPUW). OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE
FOR VFR CONDITIONS.
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS, PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 46 75 46 79 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 45 74 46 78 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
PULLMAN 45 76 47 80 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
LEWISTON 50 80 51 83 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COLVILLE 39 75 39 79 42 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
SANDPOINT 42 71 43 75 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
KELLOGG 46 74 47 79 49 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOSES LAKE 46 80 48 81 47 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 54 78 55 80 57 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OMAK 48 77 49 80 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...NONE.
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