989
FXUS66 KOTX 212210
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
310 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR RAIN ACROSS FAR EASTERN WASHINGTON AND
NORTHERN IDAHO THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
- BREEZY TO GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL
WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SYNOPSIS
DRY WEATHER AND MILD TEMPERATURES ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE INLAND
NORTHWEST AGAIN TODAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS
FAR EASTERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN IDAHO THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS COMES WITH STRONGER WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL.
DISCUSSION
THOUGH BENIGN CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT, ANTICIPATE A
SHIFT TO THE WEATHER STARTING MID-DAY THURSDAY CONTINUING INTO
FRIDAY. RAIN WILL BECOME LIKELY ACROSS THE ID PANHANDLE AND FAR
SOUTHEASTERN WA, WITH LESSER CHANCES THE FARTHER WEST YOU GO
INTO CENTRAL WA. THOUGH NOT AS MOIST, CENTRAL WA WILL NOT BE
LEFT OUT COMPLETELY AS GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THESE AREAS
THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY. IN PARTICULAR, PORTIONS OF THE
OKANOGAN VALLEY, WATERVILLE PLATEAU, WENATCHEE AREA, UPPER
COLUMBIA BASIN, AND THE NORTHEAST BLUE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE GUSTS
OF 30 TO 45 MPH. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY BLOWING DUST. WINDS
WILL DECREASE FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPS FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND
WILL ALSO BE NOTABLY COOLER THAN WHAT WE'RE EXPERIENCING TODAY
AND THURSDAY.
IN AN UNSETTLED PATTERN, CHANCES (GENERALLY IN THE 10-30% RANGE)
FOR PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THE FINER DETAILS OF ANY
PRECIP LOCATION AND INTENSITY, BUT THOSE ACROSS THE INLAND
NORTHWEST SHOULD EXPECT THE PERIODIC POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS ALONG
WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPS. KD
AVIATION
18Z TAFS: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE 24 HR TAF PERIOD
WITH ANY CEILINGS ABOVE 12K FT AGL. LIGHT WIND ARE EXPECTED
TODAY. INCREASING WINDS AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AFTER
18Z THURSDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN VFR CONDITIONS. KD
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS, PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 40 65 42 60 35 56 / 0 30 60 10 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 41 67 42 57 34 55 / 0 30 80 20 0 0
PULLMAN 42 63 36 52 30 54 / 0 50 80 10 0 0
LEWISTON 46 65 46 58 35 59 / 0 60 90 20 0 0
COLVILLE 32 68 36 62 25 55 / 0 10 20 10 0 0
SANDPOINT 38 67 40 57 32 54 / 0 20 70 20 0 0
KELLOGG 43 68 41 50 32 53 / 0 30 80 50 0 0
MOSES LAKE 36 65 39 65 30 58 / 0 10 10 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 45 68 42 62 39 55 / 0 10 0 0 0 0
OMAK 39 68 41 62 33 56 / 0 10 20 0 0 10
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...NONE.
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