594
FXUS63 KPAH 171123
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
523 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- MILD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
- A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND A COUPLE
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA MONDAY EVENING TILL TUESDAY MORNING.
- A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS SETTLES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH
HIGHS BELOW AVERAGE AND BREEZY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFT TO THE EAST TODAY ALONG WITH THE
CENTER OF THE SFC HIGH. A SECONDARY RIDGE AXIS THEN MOVES OVERHEAD
TOMORROW. THIS LENDS ITSELF TO A WARMING TREND TODAY THROUGH
TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S TODAY AND UPPER
60S TO MID 70S TOMORROW AND TUESDAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW SPINNING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST EJECTS
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON THEN MOVES UP THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY TUESDAY. THE SFC LOW
WITH THIS SYSTEM FOLLOWS A SIMILAR PATH AND BRINGS A SLOW MOVING
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL UP TO AROUND 0.25" IN PLACES.
BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE TROF IS A BIGGER LONGWAVE TROF THAT MOVES IN
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SETTLES IN A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WITH BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MORE LIGHT RAIN ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE 50S, THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE
40S TO NEAR 50, AND 40S AND 50S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM
ALSO BRINGS BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH MORNING WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S
AND 30S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 517 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
HIGH CIRRUS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO LOWER CIGS BORDERING
ON MVFR AND SOMETIMES DIPPING TO MVFR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE OVERNIGHT. WINDS ARE LIGHT THIS MORNING AND THEN PICK
UP OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 5-10 KTS AND THEN
FALL OFF AGAIN AFTER DARK.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...SHAWKEY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page