237
FXUS63 KPAH 171728
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1128 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- MILD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
- A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND A COUPLE
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA MONDAY EVENING TILL TUESDAY MORNING.
- A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS SETTLES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH
HIGHS BELOW AVERAGE AND BREEZY CONDITIONS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1128 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFT TO THE EAST TODAY ALONG WITH THE
CENTER OF THE SFC HIGH. A SECONDARY RIDGE AXIS THEN MOVES OVERHEAD
TOMORROW. THIS LENDS ITSELF TO A WARMING TREND TODAY THROUGH
TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S TODAY AND UPPER
60S TO MID 70S TOMORROW AND TUESDAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW SPINNING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST EJECTS
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON THEN MOVES UP THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY TUESDAY. THE SFC LOW
WITH THIS SYSTEM FOLLOWS A SIMILAR PATH AND BRINGS A SLOW MOVING
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL UP TO AROUND 0.25" IN PLACES.
BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE TROF IS A BIGGER LONGWAVE TROF THAT MOVES IN
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SETTLES IN A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WITH BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MORE LIGHT RAIN ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE 50S, THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE
40S TO NEAR 50, AND 40S AND 50S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM
ALSO BRINGS BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH MORNING WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S
AND 30S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1128 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE, SCT-BKN MID-LEVEL DECKS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. BASES WILL BE MAINLY 4-7KFT. SOME LOW
VFR OR MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AT CGI AND MVN IN ADDITION TO SOME
LIGHT RAIN. HAVE INCLUDED PROB30 GROUPS THERE FOR PARTS OF THE
09-18Z PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY S-SW THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING AT 5-10 KTS, THEN BACK TO THE SE DURING THE 12-18Z
WINDOW.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...DWS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page