858
FXUS63 KPAH 210359
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
959 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL SUBSIDE
OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.
- WARM AND ACTIVE WEATHER IS FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH DAILY RAIN
CHANCES, THOUGH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL IS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
CHRISTMAS EVE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 205 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH NORTHWEST FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE QUAD STATE
REGION. STRONG CAA IS STILL ONGOING WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY TO
OVERCAST SKIES ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
PROVIDING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES. TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL.
NEXT WEEK WILL BE ACTIVE WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
OFFERING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. EARLY IN THE WEEK, AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH MORE
ZONAL UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE QUAD STATE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE OFF TOWARD THE EAST VEERING WINDS TOWARD THE SOUTH AND
ADVECTING MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION. LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A BOUNDARY NEAR THE
REGION AND PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR RAIN SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.
ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE PLAINS
MIDWEEK BEFORE LIFTING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHICH WILL
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS
DAY. STILL SOME QUESTIONS RELATED TO THE EXACT SYNOPTIC PATTERN
THAT RESULTS BUT OVERALL GUIDANCE IS TRENDING INTO BETTER
AGREEMENT. FINALLY, ANOTHER SYSTEM TAKES SHAPE TO THE WEST
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK BUT THERE IS STILL A LOT OF SPREAD IN
HOW THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP WITH NBM KEEPING CHANCE POPS GOING
PRETTY MUCH THROUGH THE THU NIGHT AND FRIDAY TIME PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS REACHING
INTO THE 50'S CHRISTMAS DAY AND ONWARD.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 957 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
ANY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE FIRST COUPLE
HOURS OF THE TAF WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. WINDS GUSTING TO 15KTS EARLY IN THE
TAF PERIOD WILL DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 10KTS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS ISSUANCE. OVERALL GOOD FLYING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...KC
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