111
FXUS63 KPAH 200531
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1131 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT UNTIL TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.
- TEMPERATURES MODERATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 155 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
ALOFT THE LONGWAVE TROF AXIS SWINGS THROUGH TODAY AS THE TROF
CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. BEHIND IT A DEEP AND EXPANSIVE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN AT THE SFC. THIS WILL KEEP US DRY AND
COLD WITH AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IN PLACE. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT UNTIL
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 0 AND 10
BELOW. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING TO AROUND 15-20 MPH EARLY ON IN THE
NIGHT AND THEN COMING DOWN BY SUNRISE. TOMORROW WINDS CALM DOWN BUT
HIGHS ARE ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S. HIGHS WILL BE SIMILAR ON
TUESDAY. ANOTHER TROF ALOFT SWINGS THROUGH ON TUESDAY BUT WILL BE
DRY WITH CONTINUED HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC.
WEDNESDAY TEMPERATURES START TO MODERATE BACK TO THE 20S AND 30S.
LATE THURSDAY ANOTHER TROF SWINGS THROUGH THAT LOOKS LIKE IT COULD
HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE WITH IT TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME PRECIP. NBM IS DRY
FOR NOW THOUGH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR
SOME PRECIP IS SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A SHIFT IN THE
PATTERN TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, A TROF OUT WEST, AND RETURN FLOW AT
THE SFC.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
THE TAFS ARE VFR. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT WEST OR
SOUTHWEST MONDAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR ILZ075>078-
080>094.
MO...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR MOZ076-087-111-
112.
IN...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST /1 PM EST/ MONDAY FOR
INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR KYZ001>022.
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...DRS
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