528
FXUS63 KPAH 211104
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
504 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR HEADLINE COLD LINGERS THROUGH THE MORNING, WITH SINGLE
DIGIT TO NEAR ZERO LOW TEMPERATURES BUT LITTLE TO NO WIND. ONE
MORE COLD DAY TODAY.
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND OCCURS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF RAIN COMING BY MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 104 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING TONIGHT WITH
A SNOWPACK, CLEAR SKIES, AND CALM WINDS. THERE ARE A FEW CLOUDS
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST THAT MAY HELP US A LITTLE BIT, BUT
OVERALL TEMPERATURES ARE TANKING - IN LINE WITH FORECAST
EXPECTATIONS. MONITORING CLOSELY FOR FREEZING FOG FORMATION
WHICH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE, BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW DECREASING
MOISTURE WITH HEIGHT THAT SUPPORTS THE IDEA OF FOG HOLDING OFF.
THE SNOWPACK MAY TURN THAT TIDE BUT IT HASN'T YET.
ONE MORE COLD DAY TODAY BEFORE THE 1036MB SURFACE RIDGE FINALLY
MOVES TO THE EAST OF THE AREA AND STARTS TO PUT US IN A MORE
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW ALOFT. SATURDAY WILL MOVE ABOVE
FREEZING. WE REMAIN IN A SOMEWHAT ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH A
NORTHERLY ELEMENT TO IT BUT GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE
SURFACE WE WILL BE MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AND WARMING UP THROUGH THE
WEEK. TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S NEXT WEEK.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD WEDNESDAY BUT THIS MEGA-RIDGE
HAS HELPED SCOUR THE AIRMASS ALL THE WAY TO THE YUCATAN STRAIT
SO MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE SLOW. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THURSDAY BUT IT SHOULD BE A BIT MORE MILD THAN THE LAST ONE AS A
LOOK INTO NORTHERN CANADA SHOWS TEMPERATURE AROUND WHAT WE HAVE
HERE RIGHT NOW, INSTEAD OF THE -40S WE WERE SEEING LAST WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 504 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH THE
EXCEPTION PERHAPS OF PATCHY FREEZING FOG EARLY THIS MORNING.
WINDS ARE LIGHT AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...JGG
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