487
FXUS63 KPAH 212321
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
521 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND COMMENCES THIS WEEKEND AND LASTS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF RAIN COMING BY
MID WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 215 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
BRILLIANT SUNSHINE IS HELPING MELT THE SNOWPACK, AND THIS
WEEKEND WILL HAVE WARMER TEMPERATURES TO FURTHER ITS DEMISE.
EXPECT ABOVE FREEZING HIGHS CLIMBING THRU THE 30S TMRW, 40S
SUNDAY, 50S MONDAY, AND THEN MAYBE EVEN A FEW 60 DEGREE READINGS
(MAINLY SOUTH) HEADING INTO THE MID WEEK, WHICH IS WHEN OUR
NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVES. A DRY WAVE MAKES PASSAGE EARLY THIS
WEEKEND, AND THEN ANOTHER ONE MAKES PASSAGE ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT WE STAY DRY WITH IT TOO.
IT'S THE NEXT ONE THAT MOVES THRU WEDNESDAY THAT WILL HAVE A
CHANCE OF RAIN ATTACHED TO ITS APPROACH AND PASSAGE. IT HAS
FLIRTED WITH A POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER, BUT THE 12Z MODELING
SUGGESTS IT'S JUST A LITTLE TOO STABLE, AND A LITTLE TOO DRY,
FOR ITS INCLUSION TODAY; WON'T BE SHOCKED IF IT REAPPEARS BUT
IT'LL BE AN IFFY/SMALL CHANCE IF THERE IS ONE AT ALL. AFTER
THAT, THE 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY BOTH RETURN BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2025
THE TAFS ARE VFR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION
OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR CALM OR LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. A WEAK
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING INCREASING HIGH CIRRUS CLOUD
COVER, WHICH SHOULD PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT. AFTER 18Z SATURDAY,
WINDS WILL PICK UP FROM THE SW AOA 5 KTS AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...DWS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page