987
FNUS73 KPAH 142113
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
413 PM CDT MON APR 14 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE PLANNED
BURN TUESDAY. MIX OUT WILL BE EARLY, WITH MIXING HEIGHTS ALREADY ABOVE
3K FT AGL AT IGNITION, AND NEARLY DOUBLING BY MID AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /81300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY
GOOD /126800 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 52 54 57 58 60 60 61 62
RH..............58 52 48 42 42 39 39 38 35
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 25 25 23 24 23 22 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.9 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 26 26 24 24 24 24 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..81 93 103 111 108 112 122 126 127
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (71400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 58 56 51 50 48 46 44 43 41 40 38
RH..............37 42 43 52 54 58 63 68 70 73 76 82
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 10 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 14 12 12 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..71 9 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 43 55 61 65 66
RH..............85 73 53 41 35 38
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 6 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.9 2.4 4.1 4.6 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 5 15 30 39 31
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...BRICKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510284.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/15/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV
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