462
FNUS73 KPAH 151201
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
701 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH A DEEP MIXING LAYER
WILL LEAD TO GREAT SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY. RH'S WILL DROP TO NEAR
30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6100 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /91300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY
GOOD /127900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 54 57 59 59 62 62 62
RH..............48 43 38 36 34 32 32 31
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 15 15 14 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.29 29 28 26 25 25 24 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.6 5.7 6.1 6.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 26 25 24 24 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..91 110 120 121 123 120 128 127
VENTRATE CAT....GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (66500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 60 55 53 49 48 47 45 45 42 42 41
RH..............32 36 45 50 58 60 63 65 65 70 70 73
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 13 12 10 9 9 9 8 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W NW W NW NW NW W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 14 13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..67 10 9 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (43000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 45 57 63 66 67
RH..............76 70 47 36 33 34
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 6 7 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 2.4 4.3 5.3 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 6 8 8 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 12 28 40 41
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR
FORECASTER...POULOS
REQUESTED BY...BRICKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510371.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/15/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV
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