180  
FNUS73 KPAH 151209  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGAR RIDGE ASPHALT LOOP...INDIANA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
709 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH A DEEP MIXING LAYER  
WILL LEAD TO GREAT SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY. RH'S WILL DROP INTO THE 30  
PERCENTILE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.  
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 31 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /79800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /155500 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR PC PC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 50 52 52 53 54 56 58 58 59  
RH..............58 56 48 44 43 41 40 37 37 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 17 18 18 18 17 17 17 16 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 28 30 30 30 28 26 26 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 4.2 4.7 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 31 31 31 29 28 28 28 28 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..80 113 127 139 134 134 141 154 156 153  
VENTRATE CAT....GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.  
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 13  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............58 56 53 51 47 46 45 43 42 41 40 39  
RH..............37 40 48 52 60 63 65 67 70 73 73 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 9 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 18 15 14 13 12 12 12 10 9 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W NW NW W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 16 14 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..72 9 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...POULOS  
REQUESTED BY...HILLARY BULCHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510375.0/PAH  
.DELDT 04/15/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HBULCHER@DNR.IN.GOV  
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