117
FNUS73 KPAH 161155
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR H&H RX FIRE...KDFWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
655 AM CDT WED APR 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
STRONG SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS AND DEEP MIXING WILL LEAD TO
GREAT DISPERSION ON THURSDAY. MINIMUM RH'S WILL BE MUCH HIGHER
THAN RECENT DAYS, ONLY DROPPING TO AROUND 50%. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING BUT THEN WE SHOULD CLEAR OUT DURING
THE AFTERNOON.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /35900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/97600 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC PC MCR
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 62 65 68 69
RH..............69 62 58 52 49
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.22 23 23 23 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.8 3.7 4.1 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 24 26 28 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 59 86 98 69
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR GD GD GD
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 68 66 65 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64
RH..............52 51 54 56 58 58 58 58 58 60 63 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.24 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 22 22 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 18 17 17 18 20 20 21 21 21 21 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 8 3 4 7 7 8 9 10 11 13 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 31
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (112900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (69200 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(114500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 65 66 67 69 71 73 75 76 77 77 77
RH..............70 70 70 68 66 63 59 58 58 56 56 56
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 17 17 17 18 18 18 17 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 25 25 26 28 28 28 28 28 26 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.2 3.8 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 25 26 28 29 30 31 31 31 29
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 17 23 34 48 66 86 102 113 115 102 69
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD
FORECASTER...POULOS
REQUESTED BY...RILEY DOLLENBACHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510435.1/PAH
.DELDT 04/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RILEY.DOLLENBACHER@KY.GOV
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