507
FXUS63 KPAH 221023
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
523 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. AFTER A
BRIEF COOL DOWN THIS WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES MAY RISE 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK INTO THE MID 80S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING IS WHEN THE
RISK OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE GREATEST. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND LIGHTNING REMAINS THE MAIN CONCERN WITH UP TO AN
INCH OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 144 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE NBM WITH THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST PACKAGE
AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
MORNING; OTHERWISE, A PROLONG PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER NOW LOOKS
TO HOLD OFF UNTIL THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH. FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
EVENING IS WHEN THE RISK OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE
GREATEST AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FA.
DESPITE MODEST INSTABILITY, THE SHEAR STILL LOOKS BE EXTREMELY
MEAGER ON THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE, INHIBITING WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL. TOTAL RAINFALL UP TO ONE INCH REMAINS POSSIBLE.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ARE PROGGED TO REACH
THE MID 80S ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AFTER A
BRIEF COOL DOWN, RUNNING 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 523 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
PATCHY FOG, LOCALLY DENSE HAS DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
REGION, ESPECIALLY AT TERMINALS KPAH/KCGI. VSBY REDUCTIONS
SHOULD QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR BY 8 AM. QUIET WEATHER THEN
PREVAILS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH FEW-SCT
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6-7 KTS TURN LIGHT &
VARIABLE AGAIN TONIGHT.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DW
AVIATION...DW
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