696
FXUS63 KPAH 221905
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
205 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY. THEN AGAIN MONDAY
ONWARD WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE NEXT WEEK.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
BEST CHANCES ARE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. QUASI ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC WILL KEEP US HIGH AND
DRY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVES
THROUGH BRINGING BACK SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. FRIDAY WILL BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND STORMS AS A COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH. INSTABILITY IS AROUND
1,000-1,500 J/KG OF MUCAPE BUT DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS WEAK, AROUND
15-20 KTS. THIS MEANS SEVERE CHANCES WILL BE FAIRLY LIMITED.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN HAVE A BRIEF COOL
DOWN THIS WEEKEND BEFORE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES RETURN
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ALOFT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS ARE
FAIRLY LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST TODAY WITH CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL
GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE. SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN LATER THIS
EVENING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...SHAWKEY
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