630
FXUS63 KPAH 282326
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
626 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ON AND OFF THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME.
- DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER OVER THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025
A WARM FRONT CONTINUED TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY, WITH A
JUMP IN DEW POINTS, RANGING FROM 56 AT KEVV TO 70 AT KPOF. IT
WILL REMAIN WARM AND BREEZY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE BROAD WARM
SECTOR ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE ACTIVE. A FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH
AND INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY, THEN STALL TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
FRONT WILL HEAD BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TAKES SHAPE ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE
RESULT WILL BE ON AND OFF CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
GIVEN THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AT TIMES, AND MODEST BULK SHEAR
WE CANNOT RULE OUT STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.
FRIDAY, LINGERING SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED STORM SHOULD BE IT AS
AN UPPER TROF MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. FRIDAY NIGHT WE CAN
RETIRE POPS AND SET THE STAGE FOR RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE TO
OFFER UP DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025
A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MOST OF
THE REGION BEGINNING DURING THE 12-18Z PERIOD AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE
VFR, THOUGH BRIEF LOWER RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE UNDER HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION. S-SSW WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 6-10 KTS OVERNIGHT
THEN INCREASE AFTER 12-15Z TO 8-12 KTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
KTS POSSIBLE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...CN
AVIATION...DWS
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