098
FXUS63 KPAH 082326
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
626 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER FRONT SET TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BRING MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED, THOUGH A FEW STORMS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.
- WE DRY OUT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHS WILL BE
WARM BUT NOT OVERLY HOT WITH LOWER HUMIDITY.
- DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. STILL TOO EARLY TO SAY IF THERE IS A
SEVERE RISK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2025
THIS AFTERNOON AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SPINNING OVER THE MN/CAN
BORDER. LATER TONIGHT A SECOND COLD FRONT IS SET TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH TOMORROW
EARLY AFTERNOON. RIGHT NOW THERE ISN'T AS STRONG OF MOISTURE RETURN
AND SO THE SEVERE THREAT IS MINIMAL WITH POSSIBLY A FEW STRONG
STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. BEHIND THIS FRONT AS THE
LONG WAVE TROF ALOFT SWINGS THROUGH, CONDITIONS DRY OUT FOR A COUPLE
DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ON MONDAY,
LOWER 80S ON TUESDAY, AND BACK TO THE MID 80S ON WEDNESDAY.
BY WEDNESDAY WE ARE IN FAIRLY WEAK, SPLIT FLOW ALOFT WITH SUBTLE
RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST. THIS RIDGING ALLOWS FOR MORE
GULF MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, PUSHING
DEW POINTS BACK UP INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. DAILY SHOWER AND
STORM CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BEST
CHANCES ARE WITH A WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE ON FRIDAY THAT
PERSISTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIKELY POPS (~70%) SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 623 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. MORE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT
AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING ALONG WITH A COLD FRONT. OUTSIDE OF
THUNDERSTORMS, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CIGS WILL LIFT
AND GO SCATTERED BEHIND THE FRONT AND THE STORMS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...SHAWKEY
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