334
FXUS63 KPAH 090351
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1051 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER FRONT SET TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BRING MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED, THOUGH A FEW STORMS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.
- WE DRY OUT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHS WILL BE
WARM BUT NOT OVERLY HOT WITH LOWER HUMIDITY.
- DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. STILL TOO EARLY TO SAY IF THERE IS A
SEVERE RISK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2025
THIS AFTERNOON AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SPINNING OVER THE MN/CAN
BORDER. LATER TONIGHT A SECOND COLD FRONT IS SET TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH TOMORROW
EARLY AFTERNOON. RIGHT NOW THERE ISN'T AS STRONG OF MOISTURE RETURN
AND SO THE SEVERE THREAT IS MINIMAL WITH POSSIBLY A FEW STRONG
STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. BEHIND THIS FRONT AS THE
LONG WAVE TROF ALOFT SWINGS THROUGH, CONDITIONS DRY OUT FOR A COUPLE
DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ON MONDAY,
LOWER 80S ON TUESDAY, AND BACK TO THE MID 80S ON WEDNESDAY.
BY WEDNESDAY WE ARE IN FAIRLY WEAK, SPLIT FLOW ALOFT WITH SUBTLE
RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST. THIS RIDGING ALLOWS FOR MORE
GULF MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, PUSHING
DEW POINTS BACK UP INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. DAILY SHOWER AND
STORM CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BEST
CHANCES ARE WITH A WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE ON FRIDAY THAT
PERSISTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIKELY POPS (~70%) SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2025
VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT AT EACH OF
THE TAF SITES. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE
DIMINISHING TREND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THEY APPROACH
THE WESTERN TAF SITES; HOWEVER, DID INCLUDE A PREVAILING AT
CGI/PAH FOR THUNDER AND MAINLY SHOWERS AT MVN TO START THE
PERIOD. THOSE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LOSE INTENSITY AS THEY
SHIFT EASTWARD TO EVV/OWB OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
IMPROVING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...KC
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page