754
FXUS63 KPAH 232347
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
647 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR PROLONGED
DURATION DAILY PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 647 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
THE H5 RIDGE IS 596-597 DM NOW AND HOLDS STRONG IN THE MID 590S
THRU MID WEEK, BREAKING DOWN INTO THE LOWER 590S BY THE END OF
THE WEEK. NO OTHER SYNOPTIC FEATURE OF NOTE DETECTED, THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH BUILDUP OF HEAT/HUMIDITY TO ALLOW FOR DAILY POPS
TO APPEAR PRIMARILY DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING, BUT ANY SUCH THAT DEVELOPS WILL OFFER ONLY A BRIEF,
TEMPORARY RESPITE FROM THE TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES THAT
CONTINUE WITH THE HEAT HEADLINE THRU FRIDAY.
OVER THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND, THERE BEGINS TO SHOW IN THE
MODELING SOME HEIGHTS FALLING, PERHAPS ENOUGH TO BREAK THE
TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES, PERHAPS NOT. THERE IS ENOUGH QUESTION
THERE THAT IT PRECLUDES US FROM EXTENDING THE PROLONGED DURATION
HEADLINE ANY MORE THAN FRIDAY, AT LEAST AT THIS WRITING; THAT MAY
NEED TO BE REVISITED AS THE WEEK WEARS ON.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 647 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
CENTERED OVER THE AREA. AIR MASS THUNDERSTORMS (MAINLY 10-20% IN
COVERAGE) WILL DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER 18Z, BUT COVERAGE LOOKS TO
BE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE WITH THIS TAF PACKAGE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT FROM THE S-SW AROUND 4-6 KTS AFTER 14Z.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114.
IN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT /8 PM EDT/ FRIDAY FOR INZ081-082-
085>088.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR KYZ001>022.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...DWS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page