344
FXUS63 KPAH 271723
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1223 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ONE MORE DAY TODAY FOR
PROLONGED DURATION DAILY PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO 105
DEGREES.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS, LIGHTNING, AND SOME GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 115 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
TODAY WILL BE OUR FINAL DAY OF THE HEAT HEADLINE AS ONCE AGAIN,
COVERAGE OF DIURNAL STORMS/CLOUDS IS MINIMAL ENOUGH TO ALLOW
THE HEAT/HUMIDITY TO AGAIN SURGE INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS FOR PEAK
HEAT INDEX VALUES THIS AFTERNOON.
STORM CHANCES INCREASE HEADED INTO THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK, AS HEIGHT FALLS EVENTUALLY SEE A COLD FRONT DROP INTO THE
PICTURE. THIS INCREASE IN POPS/STORM ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND THE
BREAKDOWN IN THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW STILL WARM TEMPERATURES AND
HIGH HUMIDITY TO TOP OUT BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL HEADLINES, AND BE
MORE TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. AND WHILE THE WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER RISK REMAINS MINIMAL, THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS, LIGHTNING, AND GUSTY WINDS
WITH OUR DAILY STORM CHANCES.
MODELS CONTINUE TRENDING SLIGHTLY SLOWER WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
FROPA AND THE SUBSEQUENT DRIER, LESS HUMID AIR ITS PASSAGE WORKS
INTO THE REGION FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
CU HAS DEVELOPED ALONG WITH SOME LINGERING HIGH CLOUDS. WILL SEE
ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON, WITH AREAS
NEAR KMVN AND IN THE KY PENNYRILE MOST FAVORED INITIALLY BEFORE
SPREADING TO OTHER AREAS OF THE CWA LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR SOME CONVECTION TO
LINGER/REGENERATE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE MENTION AT ANY TERMINAL.
DEPENDING HOW THAT EVOLVES WILL DICTATE WHICH AREAS SEE THE MORE
PRONOUNCED ACTIVITY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD, OUTSIDE OF BRIEF REDUCTIONS DUE TO
CONVECTION.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ILZ075>078-
080>094.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114.
IN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT /8 PM EDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ001>022.
DISCUSSION...PREVIOUS FCTER
AVIATION...SP
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