372
FXUS63 KPAH 041132
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
632 AM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY FOR THE 4TH OF JULY HOLIDAY AND SATURDAY.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS SUNDAY ONWARD WITH DAILY RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES.
- AFTER TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THIS WEEKEND,
TEMPERATURES COOL SLIGHTLY INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD ACROSS THE QUAD STATE TODAY
BEFORE SHIFTING FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY BY THE
WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS MOVING EASTWARD AND WILL
REMAIN WELL TO OUR EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND PERIOD. THE RIDGING
ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE FOR
THE 4TH OF JULY HOLIDAY AND FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH LOW TO MID 90'S TODAY AND WIDESPREAD MID 90'S BOTH SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY.
RIDGING BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. A MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL
DEVELOP WITH RIDGING OUT WEST AND SUBSEQUENT TROUGHING ACROSS
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE
EASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE
STALLING OUT. UPPER TROUGHING ALOFT AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY
FLOW AND MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL WORK IN TANDEM TO RESULT IN
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES INCREASING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
PEAK CHANCES OCCURRING IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TEMPERATURES MAY
COOL OFF A COUPLE OF DEGREES NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE EXPECTED
INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025
FOG AT CGI/PAH/MVN WILL SCATTER OUT OVER THE NEXT HOUR WITH
VISIBILITY IMPROVING. VFR IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH FEW-SCT CU THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WILL
BECOME CALM TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOWER.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...AD
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