900  
FXUS63 KPAH 072327  
AFDPAH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
627 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- NEAR NORMAL EARLY TO MID AUGUST WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HIGHS  
WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S, HUMIDITY STAYS, AND A SMALL BUT  
DAILY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
 
THERE IS ACTIVE CONVECTION UPSTREAM THAT WE WILL BE KEEPING AN  
EYE UPON, AS SOME MODELING, WHICH DOES NOT OVERALL HANDLE IT  
WELL ANYWAY, HINTS AT ITS INFLUENCE PERHAPS REACHING INTO THE  
I-64 CORRIDOR OR FLIRTING WITH IT...BUT CHANCES ARE LOW,  
PROBABLY NOT EVEN AUDIBLE, AS IT STAYS MOSTLY NORTH OF THERE.  
SOME BLOW-OFF OF THE CANOPY IS POSSIBLE AND IS ACCOUNTED FOR IN  
THE GRIDS/TAFS. PULSE CONVECTION IN OUR EAST IS A POSSIBILITY  
BUT THE CHANCE IS SILENT.  
 
OTHERWISE, ANTICIPATE A NEAR NORMAL EARLY TO MID AUGUST WEEK OF  
WEATHER AS WE SEE DAILY HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND DEW POINTS IN  
THE LOWER 70S. THE ONLY RELIEF WILL BE IN THE FORM OF A  
THUNDERSTORM, WHOSE SMALL AUDIBLE CHANCE RETURNS TO THE DAILY  
FORECAST BY NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025  
 
A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE NEAR KSTL EARLY THIS EVENING WILL MOVE  
SOUTH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN  
10-15KFT CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WHICH SHOULD  
HAVE LITTLE TO NO IMPACT. KMVN IS MOST LIKELY TO SEE ANY RAIN.  
THE CEILINGS SHOULD PREVENT FOG FORMATION OVER MOST OF THE  
REGION. THEY COULD CLEAR KMVN BEFORE SUNRISE WHICH SEEMS TO BE  
THE BEST SHOT AT FOG, SO THREW MVFR FOG IN THERE. SOUTH WINDS  
COULD PRODUCE 15KT GUSTS AT KCGI AND KMVN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
   
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
IL...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...DH  
AVIATION...DRS  
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