231
FXUS63 KPAH 080641
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
141 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DAILY HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW
90S AND HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 95 TO 100 ARE FORECAST.
- DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THEREAFTER, LOW
CHANCES (30-40%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN ON A NEAR DAILY
BASIS NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 141 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
A 500MB RIDGE WILL BUILD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE COMING DAYS
ENGULFING THE EASTERN U.S. THIS WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LOW
OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EAST INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND SOUTHERN CANADA THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL SET UP A TROUGH
AXIS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY IN THE WEEK THAT WILL SLOWLY
PIVOT EAST. AS IT DOES SO, A COLD FRONT MAY ATTEMPT TO SINK SOUTH
TOWARDS OUR AREA TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
CONVECTION AROUND MAY ALLOW SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD WITH HIGHS PRIMARILY IN THE UPPER 80S COMPARED TO LOW 90S.
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS MAY RISE AGAIN LATER IN
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND OF AUG 16-17. THIS MAY TEND TO LIMIT CONVECTIVE
CHANCES AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE BACK INTO THE LOW 90S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE FORECASTS IS TO ADD SOME OVERNIGHT FOG AT
KEVV AND KOWB, DUE TO THE MID-LEVEL CLOUDS REMAINING WEST OF
THOSE SITES. KEVV HAS THE BEST SIGNAL AND HAVE IFR MENTIONED,
BUT KOWB MIXED DOWN INTO THE MID 60S THIS AFTERNOON, SO JUST
KEPT IT MVFR THERE. MVFR FOG IS STILL FORECAST AT KMVN LATE, AS
THE CLOUDS CLEAR.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...DRS
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