692
FXUS63 KPAH 081731
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1231 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DAILY HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW
90S AND HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 95 TO 100 ARE FORECAST.
- DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THEREAFTER, LOW
CHANCES (30-40%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN ON A NEAR DAILY
BASIS NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 141 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
A 500MB RIDGE WILL BUILD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE COMING DAYS
ENGULFING THE EASTERN U.S. THIS WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LOW
OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EAST INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND SOUTHERN CANADA THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL SET UP A TROUGH
AXIS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY IN THE WEEK THAT WILL SLOWLY
PIVOT EAST. AS IT DOES SO, A COLD FRONT MAY ATTEMPT TO SINK SOUTH
TOWARDS OUR AREA TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
CONVECTION AROUND MAY ALLOW SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD WITH HIGHS PRIMARILY IN THE UPPER 80S COMPARED TO LOW 90S.
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS MAY RISE AGAIN LATER IN
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND OF AUG 16-17. THIS MAY TEND TO LIMIT CONVECTIVE
CHANCES AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE BACK INTO THE LOW 90S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
GOOD FLYING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF ISSUANCE WITH
MAINLY VFR SKIES AND VISIBILITIES. SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG MAY
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, BUT IS EXPECTED TO EVEN LESS THAN LAST
NIGHT. A BRIEF 4-5 MILE VSBY IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE SITE SEEING FOG IS
FAIRLY LOW. IF FOG DOES DEVELOP, IT WILL QUICKLY MIX OUT AROUND
SUNRISE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...KC
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