975
FXUS63 KPAH 081912
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
212 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DAILY HIGHS STILL FORECAST TO BE IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S AND HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 95 TO 100.
- OUTSIDE OF A FEW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON, DRY WEATHER IS
FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW CHANCES (30-40%) OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS RETURN ON A NEAR DAILY BASIS NEXT WEEK, PEAKING
EACH AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
500 MB RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND AS IT VERY GRADUALLY DRIFTS EAST.
AT THE SAME TIME, A WRAPPED UP UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
THROUGH THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES WILL BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR MULTIPLE STORM COMPLEXES THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK AS THEY FOCUS ALONG A COLD FRONT DRIFTING GRADUALLY
SOUTHEASTWARD. AS THE FRONT DRIFTS CLOSER TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK, EXPECT A BETTER CHANCE FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. ADDITIONAL DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE
IS ALSO PROGGED TO LIFT NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF THROUGH MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S. THE INCREASING
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL ALSO MAKE IF FEEL LESS COMFORTABLE OUTSIDE WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES PUSHING CLOSER TO THE MID 90S.
THE RIDGE IS STILL EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, PUSHING HIGH TEMPERATURES UP TOWARD THE MID
90S WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
GOOD FLYING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF ISSUANCE WITH
MAINLY VFR SKIES AND VISIBILITIES. SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG MAY
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, BUT IS EXPECTED TO EVEN LESS THAN LAST
NIGHT. A BRIEF 4-5 MILE VSBY IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE SITE SEEING FOG IS
FAIRLY LOW. IF FOG DOES DEVELOP, IT WILL QUICKLY MIX OUT AROUND
SUNRISE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...KC
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