487
FXUS63 KPAH 082306
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
606 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DAILY HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S WITH HEAT INDEX READINGS MAKING IT "FEEL
LIKE" 95 TO 100 DEGREES.
- OUTSIDE OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON, DRY WEATHER
IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW CHANCES (30-40%) OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN ON A NEAR DAILY BASIS NEXT WEEK,
PEAKING EACH AFTERNOON.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 601 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
500 MB RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND AS IT VERY GRADUALLY DRIFTS EAST.
AT THE SAME TIME, A WRAPPED UP UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
THROUGH THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES WILL BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR MULTIPLE STORM COMPLEXES THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK AS THEY FOCUS ALONG A COLD FRONT DRIFTING GRADUALLY
SOUTHEASTWARD. AS THE FRONT DRIFTS CLOSER TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK, EXPECT A BETTER CHANCE FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. ADDITIONAL DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE
IS ALSO PROGGED TO LIFT NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF THROUGH MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S. THE INCREASING
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL ALSO MAKE IF FEEL LESS COMFORTABLE OUTSIDE WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES PUSHING CLOSER TO THE MID 90S.
THE RIDGE IS STILL EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, PUSHING HIGH TEMPERATURES UP TOWARD THE MID
90S WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 601 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
A HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATED FORECAST MEANS VISUAL FLIGHT RULES
CONDITIONS WITH DAILY DIURNAL CU OFFERING BASES GENERALLY IN THE
4-6K FT AGL RANGE OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY. IF THERE ARE ANY
RESTRICTIONS, IT WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF DAYBREAK OR PREDAWN
FOG, BUT MODELED TDD'S DO NOT SUGGEST THIS BEING A BIG IMPACT,
SO WE'VE REFRAINED FROM ITS MENTION THIS ISSUANCE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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