645
FXUS63 KPAH 090708
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
208 AM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DAILY HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S WITH HEAT INDEX READINGS MAKING IT "FEEL
LIKE" 95 TO 100 DEGREES.
- DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THEREAFTER, DAILY
CHANCES (30-40%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
500MB RIDGING WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS THIS WEEKEND.
MEANWHILE, A WRAPPED UP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES, EVENTUALLY FILLING AND LIFTING NORTH THROUGH
MONDAY. TROUGHINESS WILL PERSIST TO THE SOUTH OF THIS FEATURE
EXTENDING DOWN INTO THE PLAINS EARLY IN THE WEEK. AS THIS WEAKNESS
IN THE FLOW GRADUALLY SHIFTS EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEK, IT WILL
BRING BACK DAILY CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY, DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO FUNNEL NORTH FROM
THE GULF BY MID WEEK. THIS WILL AID IN HUMIDITY LEVELS INCREASING
WITH DEW POINTS JUMPING FROM THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 THIS WEEKEND
INTO THE 73-75 RANGE BY WEDNESDAY.
BY LATE IN THE WEEK, GUIDANCE SUGGESTS UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS BEGIN TO
RISE AGAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO LESSENING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY JUMP A FEW DEGREES AS WELL, WHICH
COMBINED WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS MAY ALLOW HEAT INDEX READINGS
TO EXCEED 100 IN MANY AREAS BY NEXT FRI/SAT.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 601 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
A HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATED FORECAST MEANS VISUAL FLIGHT RULES
CONDITIONS WITH DAILY DIURNAL CU OFFERING BASES GENERALLY IN THE
4-6K FT AGL RANGE OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY. IF THERE ARE ANY
RESTRICTIONS, IT WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF DAYBREAK OR PREDAWN
FOG, BUT MODELED TDD'S DO NOT SUGGEST THIS BEING A BIG IMPACT,
SO WE'VE REFRAINED FROM ITS MENTION THIS ISSUANCE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...PREVIOUS FCTER
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