810
FXUS63 KPAH 110419
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1119 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DAILY HIGHS WILL PRIMARILY BE IN THE LOW 90S
THROUGH THURSDAY, AND MAY PUSH THE MID 90S BY NEXT WEEKEND.
- HEAT INDEX READINGS WILL MAKE IT "FEEL LIKE" 95 TO 100 DEGREES
EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE READINGS MAY RISE ABOVE 100
AND CLOSE TO 105 IN SOME AREAS FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
- PRIMARILY DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. HIGHEST
CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE TUESDAY-
THURSDAY (30-50%), WITH LESSENING CHANCES LATE IN THE WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEKEND (20-30%).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 302 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
UPPER-LEVEL/500MB RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL DRIFT TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. AT THE SAME
TIME, A CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES TO NORTHERN ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY. A NEARLY
STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE DRAPED BETWEEN THESE FEATURES AS IT BECOMES
ILL-DEFINED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG AND NEAR THE BOUNDARY,
EXPECT A BETTER CHANCE FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BEGINNING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE LINGERING THROUGH THURSDAY. DEEPER MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO
ADVECT NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF THROUGH MID WEEK, ALSO HELPING TO
INCREASE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND INCREASE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE WARMING FURTHER INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
AFOREMENTIONED INCREASE IN MOISTURE LEVELS WILL ALSO MAKE IF FEEL
LESS COMFORTABLE OUTSIDE WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES PUSHING
CLOSER TO THE MID 90S.
THE RIDGE IS STILL EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, PUSHING HIGH TEMPERATURES UP TOWARD THE MID
90S WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING 100-105 DEGREES. THERE STILL
MAY BE SOME ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS EACH DAY, BUT THE COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE MINIMIZED BY THE INCREASED HEAT ALOFT.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME PATCHY
SHALLOW GROUND FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING, BUT
HAVE LEFT MENTION OUT OF TAFS. SCT-BKN CU FIELD WILL DEVELOP BY
LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SKIES BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR
AGAIN TOWARDS SUNSET. WINDS WILL START OUT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
AROUND 4-6 KTS ON MONDAY BUT WILL TREND TOWARD SOUTHEASTERLY BY
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
STORM DURING THE AFTERNOON, BUT COVERAGE WILL BE VERY ISOLATED
SO NO MENTION IN TAFS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...SP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page