694
FXUS63 KPAH 122249 AAA
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
549 PM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK. DAILY HIGHS WILL PRIMARILY BE IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOWER 90S THROUGH THURSDAY.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
FOR MOST AREAS, BEFORE DECREASING CHANCES ON THURSDAY FOCUSED
ON MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION.
- DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID 90S. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
RISE INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 304 PM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S.
THIS AFTERNOON AND IS RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. CAN'T RULE OUT BRIEF GUSTY WINDS IN
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON. THE UPPER TROUGH AND A SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED CHANCES OF
RAIN/STORMS. BY THURSDAY, THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA
WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY WITH SLIGHT CHANCES
ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION.
HEIGHTS BUILD ACROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND ESPECIALLY
OVER THE WEEKEND LEADING TO INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND WILL RISE INTO
THE MID 90S WITH HEAT INDICES LIKELY CLIMBING INTO THE TRIPLE
DIGITS. LOCALIZED HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. TOWARDS THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD, THE
RIDGE SHOWS SIGNS OF BREAKING DOWN. THIS MAY LEAD TO A SLOW
INCREASE IN CONVECTION BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REMAIN HOT
WITH HIGHS REMAINING IN THE MID 90S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 548 PM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL REMAIN A FACTOR THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO, BUT SHOULD START TO DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. A
STRAY SHOWER OR TWO IS POSSIBLE IN THE OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK
FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST BUT OPERATIONAL IMPACTS APPEAR
TOO UNLIKELY FOR TAF MENTION WITH THIS PACKAGE. MOISTURE IS
POOLED AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN A WAY THAT WOULD SUPPORT FOG
FORMATION BUT MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER MAY PROHIBIT
SUFFICIENT COOLING.
VFR CONDITIONS THEN APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...JGG
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