899
FXUS63 KPAH 141803
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
103 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- PROLONGED DURATION HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS HERE TO STAY, PEAKING
OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAILY HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE LOWER-MIDDLE 90S...WHILE DAILY HEAT INDICES APPROACH OR
EXCEED THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
- THE ONLY RELIEF COMES IN THE FORM OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES DAILY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2025
HEAT/HUMIDITY CONTINUES TO BUILD AND WILL LIKELY PEAK THIS
WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHETHER HEADLINES ARE NEEDED WILL BE
A COLLABORATIVE PLAY-OUT WHICH WILL PROBABLY COME TO FRUITION
WITH TIME. FOR NOW, WE'RE RUNNING WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S, DEW POINTS AROUND 70, AND HI'S APPROACHING
OR EXCEEDING TRIPLE DIGITS. THE ONLY RELIEF TO SPEAK OF WILL
COME IN THE FORM OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM WHOSE BEST
CHANCE WILL BE IN THE HEAT OF THE DAY, BUT PROBABLY WILL BE A
SILENT CHANCE AROUND 10% OVER THE COURSE OF THE WEEKEND.
THE H5 594+ DM HIGH PRESSURE SETUP BREAKS DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK, AS A TROF DROPS HEIGHTS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY UPON
ITS PASSAGE. THIS WILL REINTRODUCE AUDIBLE POPS HERE, WITH A
CHANCE CATEGORY MENTION IN THE MID WEEK FORECAST AND
TEMPERATURES THAT LEVEL OFF CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS NEARER
90F.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2025
DIURNALLY BASED CU IN THE 4-7K FT AGL RANGE MAY INCLUDE
TEMPORARY CIGS WITH A MENTION OF VC/CB, ESP AT KOWB, AT TIMES.
AFTER LOSS OF FUEL, EXPECT THEIR DISPERSION, THOUGH SCT-BKN MID
LEVEL BASES MAY LINGER, ESP EAST. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
TDD'S WITHIN 2-3F MAY ALLOW FOR A LITTLE PREDAWN OR DAYBREAK
FOG, POTENTIALLY RESTRICTING VSBYS CATEGORICALLY INTO MVFR.
BEYOND INTO THE PLANNING PHASE HOURS, EXPECT FEW-SCT BASES IN
THE LOWER VFR RANGE BY THE AFTERNOON.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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