848
FXUS63 KPAH 101654
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1154 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SUMMER-LIKE 90S RETURN TO THE FORECAST SOON AND STICK AROUND
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- A CONTINUED DRY WEATHER FORECAST WILL ONLY EXACERBATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND HEIGHTEN FIRE DANGER AS THE WEEK ENSUES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
CLOUDS TRACKING EASTWARD THROUGH THE QUAD STATE HAVE PRODUCED A
FEW SPRINKLES FOR TRACE ACCUMULATIONS AS A FEW MODELS WERE
SUGGESTING. AS RIDGING DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS, THERE IS
SOME POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SPRINKLES TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW AS A WEAK AREA OF VORTICITY ROUNDS THE TROUGH
(SUBSEQUENTLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC), BUT MODEL
AGREEMENT IS LACKING SO WILL HOLD OFF ON THEIR INCLUSION FOR THE
TIME BEING. TEMPERATURES RISE TO NEAR 90 FOR HIGHS TODAY, THEN
CONTINUE RISING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A CLEAN OMEGA BLOCK NEVER QUITE SETS UP
FOR LONG, BUT THE RIDGE SURGING WELL INTO CANADA SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY RESULTS IN HIGHS REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 90S IN
THE QUAD STATE. A SHIFT TOWARDS A LESS NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT
HAS RESULTED IN MUCH HIGHER DEW POINTS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY
MORNING AND LOWS WILL RISE TO THE LOWER HALF OF THE 60S.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST WITH THE NBM REFRAINING FROM
INCLUDING ANY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS EARLY NEXT WEEK. DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP. LOW SOIL
MOISTURE AND LOW RHS ARE A CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER, THOUGH WIND
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1154 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE
DAY. PATCHY GROUND FOG MAY DEVELOP IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
THURSDAY MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING QUICKLY AFTER
SUNRISE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...JGG
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