405
FXUS63 KPAH 130731
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
231 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND INTO MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLING INTO THE 80S TO LOWER 90S BY
LATE WEEK.
- OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS TODAY AND SUNDAY, MOST
OF THE REGION REMAINS DRY TROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 231 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
QUIET CONDITIONS ARE OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S AND MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. ALOFT, A MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
THE PLAINS WITH TROUGHING ACROSS THE EAST COAST AND
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS LARGELY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND WITH THE RIDGE AXIS
PUSHING JUST A BIT EASTWARD TODAY BEFORE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY ON
SUNDAY. HOT CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND ON SUNDAY AS
HIGHS RISE INTO THE 90S, WITH THE WARMEST READINGS IN SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI WHERE HIGHS REACH THE UPPER 90S. CAMS DEVELOP A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS BENEATH THE RIDGE AXIS THIS
AFTERNOON MAINLY IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOP OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TAKE PLACE THIS EVENING TO OUR
NORTH. THIS ISOLATED ACTIVITY MAY WORK ITS WAY INTO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TONIGHT.
THE OMEGA BLOCK CARRIES THROUGH EARLY PART OF THE WEEK WITH
GENERALLY HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH DAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ARE FAVORED WHICH IS SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE ONGOING DRY SOIL CONDITIONS AND DEEPLY
MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER GENERALLY KEEPS DEWPOINTS LOW, WITH
APPARENT TEMPERATURES NEARLY IDENTICAL TO AMBIENT TEMPERATURES.
BY MID TO LATE WEEK, AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE UPPER PLAINS
BREAKING DOWN THE DOWNSTREAM RIDGING. THIS FAVORS COOLER
TEMPERATURES BY LATE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OR STORMS WITH THE
NBM SHOWING SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO CALM OVERNIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES.
SOME LIGHT DAYTIME CU IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN AROUND MID-
MORNING AT AROUND 8K-9K FT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
DURING THE DAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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