397
FXUS63 KPAH 011849
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
149 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN
EARLY NEXT WEEK, MAINLY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE VERY LIGHT.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK, COOLING
TO MORE SEASONABLE READINGS WEDNESDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER TONIGHT ON
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY WARM,
GENERALLY 6-12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
SOUTHERLY THURSDAY, AND INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND. THESE WINDS
WILL HELP BRING A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODELS SHOW A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST
MONDAY, MOVING THROUGH THE PAH FORECAST TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY MAINLY IN PORTIONS OF
WEST KENTUCKY DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY. SLIGHTLY BETTER
CHANCES ARRIVE FOR THE ENTIRE AREA WITH THE FRONT LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT THE MODEL BLEND ONLY PRODUCES
20-30% CHANCES SO FAR. AT THIS POINT, IT LOOKS LIKE MANY AREAS
WILL REMAIN DRY, AND ONLY AREAS LUCKY ENOUGH TO SEE A
THUNDERSTORM WILL SEE OVER A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL. A
SHOWER OR STORM MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY IN THE PENNYRILE
REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND HOPE
FOR SOME BETTER MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL, BUT
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY READINGS WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. FOG
WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE MAINLY FROM 09Z-13Z AT KCGI WITH MVFR TO
POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS, AND AT KPAH WITH MVFR. OTHER SITES MAY SEE
BRIEF MVFR DUE TO CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO EAST AT 5-8KT THIS AFTERNOON, AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...RST
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