242
FXUS63 KPAH 032009
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
309 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
FOLLOWED BY NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT (30-40% CHANCE). LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS
UP TO A HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND BEFORE GRADUALLY DRIFTING EASTWARD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THAT TIME PERIOD,
KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE QUAD STATE. THAT WOULD
PUT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. FOR COMPARISON, NORMAL HIGHS ARE IN THE UPPER 70S. MOST
LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AS THE HIGH DRIFTS EASTWARD, MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBTLE TROUGH/LOW IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP AND DRIFT NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FOR MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SAGE
SOUTHEAST AND MEET UP WITH THE ADDED MOISTURE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY, WHICH WILL END UP BEING THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING MORE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. OVERALL, SHEAR AND INSTABILITY APPEAR TO BE
LACKING WITH THIS SYSTEM, SO NOT ANTICIPATING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS
TIME. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND A QUARTER TO A HALF
INCH FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.
BEYOND THAT TIME PERIOD, THE UPPER FLOW WILL FLATTEN, ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TOO COOL BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S THROUGH
THAT TIME PERIOD.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1157 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025
A FEW SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE EVV/OWB TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON,
WHILE THE REMAINING TAF SITES WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY. WINDS WILL
BE FAIRLY LIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
THE RULE; HOWEVER, GROUND FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT
AT CGI/MVN. SIMILAR TO THE PAST COUPLE NIGHTS WITH VISIBILITY
BRIEFLY DROPPING TO AROUND 1 MILE LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...KC
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