207
FNUS73 KPAH 202105
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR CANAL RX UNITS 1 AND 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
405 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS THE PLANNED
SPOT DAY. THE MIXING HEIGHT WILL HAVE RISEN TO ALMOST 3000 FT AGL
AT THE PLANNED BURN IGNITION START TIME. RH WILL BE DROPPING THRU
THE 30S PERCENTILE THAT AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY WESTERLY
OR NORTHWESTERLY AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /50000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/89900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 59 61 63 65 66 66 65
RH..............53 45 41 36 34 33 34 37
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 16 16 17 17 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.7 4.9 4.6 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 22 22 21 20 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..50 64 74 80 89 90 78 47
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 7
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 59 56 53 51 50 49 49 48 48 47 46
RH..............43 49 55 64 68 71 77 77 80 80 83 86
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW W W W NW N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 4 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO
8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 45 48 53 57 60 63 65 67 68 67 65
RH..............86 86 80 66 59 53 46 41 39 37 39 43
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW W W W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 9 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.4 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 5 8 14 22 29 32 31 27 21
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...GARRISON LUPTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524013.0/PAH
.DELDT 10/21/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GARRISON.LUPTON@USDA.GOV
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