199
FNUS73 KPAH 211933
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR CANAL RX UNITS 1 AND 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
233 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION ON WEDNESDAY TURNS POOR ON
THURSDAY DUE TO LESS MIXING. FIRE DANGER REMAINS ELEVATED ON
WEDNESDAY WITH LOW RH VALUES BETWEEN 25 TO 30%. THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN DOES NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND,
WITH SCATTERED WETTING RAINS PEAKING ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.75 INCHES ARE FORECAST ON AVERAGE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /49100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/75100 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 58 61 62 64 65 65 64
RH..............47 42 36 33 30 29 30 32
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 13 13 13 13 13 10
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 20 20 20 20 20 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.2 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 21 21 21 20 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..49 57 65 66 71 75 68 45
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD GD FR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 3
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 59 54 52 51 50 50 50 49 48 47 46
RH..............36 47 59 66 68 71 71 71 74 77 79 83
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 7 6 5 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 46 49 53 57 60 63 65 67 67 67 65
RH..............83 83 74 66 57 49 44 40 37 37 37 41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST. 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.3 4.0 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE E NE NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 4 6 12 19 26 29 28 24 17
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...GARRISON LUPTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524013.1/PAH
.DELDT 10/21/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GARRISON.LUPTON@USDA.GOV
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