017  
FNUS73 KPAH 221139  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CANAL RX UNITS 1 AND 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
639 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
IT WILL BE BREEZY AND SUNNY TODAY. WINDS WON'T BE AS STRONG AS  
YESTERDAY BUT GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED. GOOD SMOKE  
DISPERSION IS ALSO FORECAST BY THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES  
WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL DOWN CLOSE TO 25 PERCENT. THE NEXT CHANCE OF  
RAIN DOESN'T ARRIVE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WITH  
ADDITIONAL CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.  
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /44600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/85300 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 59 62 64 66 67 68 67  
RH..............49 37 32 31 29 28 27 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 12 10 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 21 22 22 21 21 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.4 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 21 21 22 22 21 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 58 64 70 80 85 79 29  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD GD PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.  
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER 3  
AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR PC PC PC PC MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 58 54 53 50 50 49 48 47 47 46 46  
RH..............35 44 52 57 63 66 68 71 71 74 76 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW W W W W NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 6 5 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.  
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO  
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 44 47 50 56 59 62 64 66 67 67 65  
RH..............76 89 83 74 55 49 44 41 38 36 36 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE N N NW NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.6 4.3 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 7 9 9 8 8 9 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 8 10 20 26 27 32 36 35 23  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...POULOS  
REQUESTED BY...GARRISON LUPTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524013.2/PAH  
.DELDT 10/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GARRISON.LUPTON@USDA.GOV  
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