119
FNUS73 KPAH 050022
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHUT IN MOUNTAIN FEN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
622 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING AND MAKING PASSAGE RIGHT
AROUND BURN IGNITION TIME. THIS WILL SHIFT THE WINDS FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHWEST AFTER ITS PASSAGE, AND THE WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT
TIMES. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE THE CRITICAL 1700 FOOT AGL
LEVEL BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3400 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /34000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/40300 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 69 72 74 74 72 69 66
RH..............56 53 48 44 43 46 49 54
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 14 13 13 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.4 2.5 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 13 13 13 14 12 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 33 31 34 37 40 25 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 56 53 52 50 48 47 46 44 43 42 41
RH..............69 74 80 80 80 83 83 83 86 86 86 82
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 10 9 9 9 9 10 12 12 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO
15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (41400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 43 47 51 56 60 64 66 67 67 65 62
RH..............82 79 71 66 59 53 50 50 50 52 58 67
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.3 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 13 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 8 12 17 22 27 31 37 41 40 27 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...RYAN PATRICK GAUGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525142.0/PAH
.DELDT 11/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RGAUGER@TNC.ORG
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