749  
FXUS63 KPAH 091201  
AFDPAH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
601 AM CST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- MUCH COLDER AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH  
TUESDAY MORNING. MORNING WIND CHILL VALUES OF 10-15 DEGREES  
ARE FORECAST ON MONDAY AND 15-20 DEGREES ON TUESDAY.  
 
- THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS  
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN SOUTHWEST  
INDIANA. NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  
 
- A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP WILL BEGIN TUESDAY, AND HIGH  
TEMPERATURES BY SATURDAY WILL REACH THE LOWER 70S. OTHER THAN  
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN ON FRIDAY, THE FORECAST WILL BE DRY.  
 
 
   
UPDATE  
 
ISSUED AT 600 AM CST SUN NOV 9 2025  
 
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 131 AM CST SUN NOV 9 2025  
 
THE MUCH-ADVERTISED SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR IS ARRIVING IN THE REGION  
EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL ONLY REACH THE  
LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S, ABOUT 20-25 DEGREES COLDER THAN SATURDAY'S  
VALUES. WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY FROM THE NW AS WELL, WITH GUSTS  
OF 20-25 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. AS THE 850 MB  
FRONT PASSES THIS AFTERNOON, SOME SPRINKLES OR EVEN A STRAY  
FLURRY ARE POSSIBLE.  
 
TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES AT 850 MB WILL FALL TO AROUND -10C, AND  
MORNING LOWS ON MONDAY WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S.  
WIND CHILL MONDAY MORNING WILL DIP INTO THE 10-15F RANGE. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S,  
ABOUT 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL VALUES. OVERNIGHT LOWS INTO  
TUESDAY MORNING WILL AGAIN FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S,  
WITH MINIMUM WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15-20 DEGREES FORECAST.  
 
WITH N FLOW ADVECTING CLOUDS AND MOISTURE OFF LAKE MICHIGAN  
INTO THE REGION, AREAS OF FLURRIES AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE  
POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE BEST  
CHANCES OF SEEING PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA.  
HOWEVER, NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BEGINNING TUESDAY AS H5  
HEIGHTS BEGIN TO RISE, AND AFTER A CHILLY START, HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. EVEN  
WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR THE THE REST OF THE WEEK,  
IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, THE MIDDLE  
TO UPPER 60S ON FRIDAY, AND THE LOWER 70S TO OPEN NEXT WEEKEND.  
THE FORECAST WILL BE DRY, SAVE FOR A VERY SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN  
FRIDAY AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 600 AM CST SUN NOV 9 2025  
 
POST-FRONTAL LOW STRATUS WILL BRING MVFR RESTRICTIONS TO THE  
TERMINALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY LIFTING AND  
SCATTERING OUT TO VFR THIS EVENING. GUSTY NW WINDS, SUSTAINED AT  
10-20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20-30 KTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE  
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT AROUND 6-12 KTS.  
 
 
   
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
IL...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
UPDATE...DWS  
DISCUSSION...DWS  
AVIATION...DWS  
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