779
FXUS63 KPAH 091900
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
100 PM CST SUN NOV 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
- A CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY, WITH BEST CHANCES NORTH AND EAST, WHERE A DUSTING ON
GRASSY SURFACES IS POSSIBLE.
- A WARMUP BEGINS BY MID WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO
THE 60S, AND 70S FORECAST BY THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST SUN NOV 9 2025
THE HEART OF THE GIANT LONG WAVE CYCLONE MAKES MID OHIO RIVER
VALLEY PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. AS A RESULT, IT DRAGS
DOWN THE COLDEST OF THE COLD POLAR AIR MASS, PLUMMETING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE HARD FREEZE 20S THE NEXT 2 NIGHTS, AS
WIND CHILLS BOTTOM OUT IN THE TEENS. HIGHS MONDAY STRUGGLE TO
ATTAIN 40 DEGREES, WHICH IS A GOOD 20+ DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE
STRONG PVA ROTATING ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE MEAN TROF AXIS MAY
EVEN SQUEEZE OUT A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WHILE
THIS OCCURS, WITH BEST CHANCES NORTH AND EAST CLOSEST TO THE
CENTER OF THE CYCLONE; WOULD NOT BE SHOCKED TO SEE A DUSTING ON
GRASSY SURFACES, BUT NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER THEREAFTER, AND BY THE MID
WEEK, UPPER HEIGHT RISES CORRESPOND WITH A NICE WARMUP THAT
ENSUES. WE'LL SEE 60S RETURN TO THE FORECAST OVER THE BACK HALF
OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH 70S REEMERGING BY THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST SUN NOV 9 2025
THE PARENT CYCLONE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE POLAR PLUNGE OF AIR MAKES
ITS OHIO VALLEY PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT-MONDAY. SCT-BKN BASES WILL
STICK AROUND IN ON-OFF-ON FASHION UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA.
RESTRICTED CIGS ARE MOST LIKELY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, AND AGAIN
DURING THE PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE FORECAST, WHEN A FEW
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THE LOW'S PASSAGE, PARTICULARLY
FOR THOSE TERMINALS CLOSER TO ITS TRACK (KMVN-KEVV-KOWB).
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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