108
FXUS63 KPAH 101901
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
101 PM CST MON NOV 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER 24-36 HOURS OF CHILLY TEMPERATURES WITH WIND CHILL
VALUES IN THE TEENS AND 20S AGAIN TONIGHT INTO VETERANS DAY.
- A NICE WARMUP RETURNS 60S FOR THE BACK HALF OF THE WORK WEEK,
WITH 70S POSSIBLE BY NEXT WEEKEND; THAT'S ALSO WHEN THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN AND POTENTIAL FOR STORMS OCCURS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON NOV 10 2025
ONE MORE NIGHT (AND DAY) OF THIS CHILLY PLUNGE OF POLAR AIR AND
THE WARMUP ENSUES THEREAFTER, BUT NOT BEFORE WE CONTINUE OUR
ENDURANCE OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WITH TEENS AND 20S WIND
CHILLS, WHICH WILL PERSIST TONIGHT INTO VETERANS DAY.
AFTER THAT, IT'S SYNOPTIC PATTERN UPPER HEIGHT RECOVERY WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING EAST AND OFFERING RETURN FLOW
THAT ENABLES TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB RIGHT BACK INTO SEASONALLY
MILD 60S FOR THE BACK HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. THE WARMUP
CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND, WHEN SOME 70S START TO MAKE THEIR
REEMERGENCE. THAT'S ALSO WHEN SOME MOISTURE MAKES A RETURN, AND
A SYSTEM COMES INTO THE FORECAST PICTURE THAT'LL GIVE US OUR
NEXT BEST CHANCE OF RAIN, AND POTENTIALLY STORMS. THE NEW GFS
LOOKS LIKES IT IS BIFURCATING TWO WAVES TO OUR NORTH AND SOUTH,
WHILE THE ENSEMBLES AND SOME OF THEIR MACHINE-LEARNING OUPTUT
SUGGESTS A BROAD SWATH OF THUNDER POSSIBLE ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
WAVE(S) APPROACH; SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE UPON.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON NOV 10 2025
A FAST DEPARTING WAVE WILL DRAG ITS RESTRICTED BASES WITH IT AND
BY TONIGHT, TIME/HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW ALL TERMINALS IN THE
CLEAR. UNTIL THEN, ESP NORTH AND EAST (KMVN-KEVV-KOWB),
LINGERING RESTRICTED BASES AND A POTENTIAL LIGHT SNOW SHOWER
COULD STILL BE IN THE OFFERING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PEAK
THIS PM, THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE AND OFFER
VFR CIGS BY THE PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE FORECAST, WHEN
RETURN FLOW SOUTHERLIES KICK IN, INCLUDING SOME GUSTINESS
HEADING TOWARD/INTO THE PM TMRW.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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