506
FNUS73 KPAH 151553
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR VANCE BARNETT RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
953 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON DECEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TUESDAY WILL BE WELL INTO THE EARLY WEEK WARMING TREND AS WINDS
ARRIVE FROM THE SSW. FOLLOWING A VERY DRY MONDAY, TUESDAY MIN-RHS
ONLY DROP TO AROUND 40-45%. A STURBBORN INVERSION LAYER WILL KEEP
MIXING AND DISPERSION FAIRLY LIMITED, WITH THE PEAK HEATING
PERIOD PROVIDING THE MOST CLEARANCE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........23 AT IGNITION...MAX 43.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /15000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/28600 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............23 29 34 39 42 43 41 38
RH..............52 39 30 24 23 24 26 32
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 7 9 9 8 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 16 17 17 16 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.1 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 15 16 15 12 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 18 21 25 29 25 11 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 31 30 29 28 27 27 27 27 27 27 25
RH..............36 41 41 42 46 50 53 57 57 63 63 68
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 9 8 7 6 6 7 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............27 27 27 33 39 45 50 52 53 53 51 48
RH..............68 74 78 66 59 51 48 46 46 48 50 56
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 12 13 15 16 17 17 16 15 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 8 10 14 19 24 28 30 28 20 12
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...LESAGE
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTEN BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527665.0/PAH
.DELDT 12/15/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW_DOCKINS@NPS.GOV,KRYSTEN_BAUER@NPS.GOV
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