380
FNUS73 KPAH 160707
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNSON CREEK REC AREA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
107 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON DECEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A TEMPERATURE INVERSION ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM LAYER ABOVE THE
SURFACE WILL LIMIT MIXING TODAY. SMOKE DISPERSION REMAINS POOR
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE MIXING HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED RUMBLES OF THUNDER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WIND
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE
DAY THURSDAY WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/23600 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 39 43 45 46 47 47 45 44
RH..............64 57 53 51 53 51 53 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 13 13 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 20 21 22 22 22 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 15 17 18 17 20 21 17 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 12 17 21 20 23 24 12 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 40 39 39 39 38 38 37 36 36 34 35
RH..............60 64 64 64 67 73 73 75 79 82 89 85
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.23 21 18 18 17 17 16 15 14 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 20 18 18 17 16 15 15 14 12 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 13 12 9 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 36 44 50 53 51
RH..............89 96 76 68 64 68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 10 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 12 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 7 12 20 18
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...MATT BRICKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527751.0/PAH
.DELDT 12/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV
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