136  
FNUS73 KPAH 160710  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINTER RIDGE...MISSOURI STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
110 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON DECEMBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A TEMPERATURE INVERSION ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM LAYER ABOVE THE  
SURFACE WILL LIMIT MIXING TODAY. SMOKE DISPERSION REMAINS POOR  
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE MIXING HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW. NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
WITH EMBEDDED RUMBLES OF THUNDER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
THROUGH THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WIND  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE  
DAY THURSDAY WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.  
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/30700 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 32 33 39 43 49 52 53 53 53 51 48  
RH..............61 63 63 54 53 46 44 46 50 50 50 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.0 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW S SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 10 12 14 16 17 17 15 13 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 8 12 18 25 28 31 25 11 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 41 41 40 39 38 38 36 35 35 33 34  
RH..............62 67 67 70 73 76 79 82 89 89 96 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 14 13 12 10 9 8 8 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 10 9 10 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.  
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO  
14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 33 35 39 45 50 54 56 57 57 55 52  
RH..............100 100 100 92 79 68 61 59 59 59 64 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..W S SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 3 3 5 9 14 20 25 27 23 16  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...HARLEE SCHERRER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527709.0/PAH  
.DELDT 12/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HARLEE.SCHERRER@DNR.MO.GOV  
 
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