186
FNUS73 KPAH 161946
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINTER RIDGE UNIT...MISSOURI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
146 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON DECEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER CONTINUES OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME
BREAKS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IF MORE BREAKS OCCUR,
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES COULD DROP ABOUT 10 PERCENT LOWER THAN IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST. OTHERWISE, POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS ANTICIPATED
WITH LOW MIXING HEIGHTS IN PLACE UNDER A TEMPERATURE INVERSION.
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH TOMORROW.
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 100 PERCENT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /25000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/30700 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 51 52 52 51 48
RH..............48 46 46 48 46 49
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 14 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.0 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 17 15 13 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 28 31 25 11 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC CDY MC MC MC CDY MC PC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 44 43 42 41 41 40 39 38 37 36 35
RH..............53 55 57 62 62 62 64 73 79 85 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 10 9 10 9 9 9 8 8 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO
14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 34 35 40 46 49 54 55 57 57 55 52
RH..............92 92 96 85 76 71 64 64 59 62 66 74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S SW SW S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 3 3 5 7 7 8 9 9 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 3 3 5 9 14 20 25 27 23 16
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...COOLEY
REQUESTED BY...ALEX RAMSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527813.0/PAH
.DELDT 12/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL THOMASALEX.RAMSEY@DNR.MO.GOV
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